Saturday, July 16, 2011

A Bottom Next Week: Up Trend Continues

As a rule of thumb, it is good to buy oversold conditions in an uptrend. Oversold conditions can be defined in one of several ways. One possibility is a daily stochastic reading below 20. We are there right now on the clearstation.com 9-month chart of the S&P 500 Index. Things are bullish right now, even though the news seems bleak. Another possibility is a dip below the 50-day and 13-day moving average in an uptrend. We dipped below both respective moving averages on Friday. Finally, there is a time element. We are due for a low this coming week.

Taken together, these factors suggest we are heading higher into August 1.

Interesting.

Have a good weekend!

Wink

1 comment:

  1. I think you are right

    Today (mon 18 jul) was a good indication that your projection is correct. The bears pulled the S&P below 1300 today but bull pressure would not allow it to stay down. We ended closing down but gained back a large portion of what was lost during the day.

    I would expect tomorrow to be up or flat.

    Thanks for the post wink

    Terry

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